**Official observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm a minimum of 59°F on October 12, 2026, aligning with the market’s dominant 58-59°F outcome at 95% implied probability.** National Weather Service data recorded this low at 7:08 a.m. amid light rain, fog, and persistent marine layer clouds that limited overnight radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached only 69°F under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms around 60–61°F for early-to-mid October lows. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with lower bins (54-55°F and below) carrying minimal probability due to the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive greater temperature drops. Resolution hinges on the final NWS climate summary for the date, and any post-processing adjustments remain unlikely to shift the reading outside the 58-59°F band.