Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight low near 11°C for London on October 14, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light southwesterly winds. Daytime highs around 19°C will give way to falling temperatures after sunset, consistent with a broader cooling trend after mid-week warmth. Historical mid-October minima average 8–12°C, placing the current consensus slightly above normal yet aligned with observed trends. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 10–11°C against minor model spread on cloud cover and wind strength that could nudge readings a degree lower or higher before official verification.