Official National Weather Service observations for Houston Intercontinental Airport on October 12, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 74–75°F, locking in the market's near-certain outcome. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points maintained mild overnight temperatures well above seasonal normals, preventing the typical radiational cooling that would push lows into the 60s. Model guidance and surface analyses showed no frontal passage or clear-sky drainage to alter this pattern. Revisions to preliminary data or use of an alternate station remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments are rare once the climatological report is finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions