Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature for Dallas on October 13 near 75–78°F, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air with overnight lows held above seasonal normals. This setup supports trader consensus around the 67°F-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability, as modest model spread and potential for localized radiational cooling or brief wind shifts keep cooler bins competitive despite the warm baseline. Historical October lows average near 60°F, yet current conditions reflect an anomalously mild pattern ahead of a later frontal passage. Upcoming evening model runs and official updates will refine the exact minimum threshold before resolution.