President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly with 161 of 300 seats, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 109. Impeachment requires a two-thirds vote of 200 members, a threshold the opposition cannot reach without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. Lee took office in June 2025 after the prior president’s removal, and no large-scale legislative or public movement has formed to pursue his ouster amid routine policy debates and cabinet adjustments. His approval ratings have fluctuated in the low-to-mid 40s without triggering the broad consensus needed for such a step. Trader consensus at 95 percent “No” reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen major scandal or sudden erosion of party discipline before 2027 remains a narrow pathway that could alter the outlook.