President Lee Jae-myung’s position remains secure through the end of 2026 primarily because the ruling Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly, making the constitutional two-thirds threshold of 200 votes for impeachment unattainable without substantial cross-party defections that have not emerged. Recent parliamentary audits have amplified opposition criticism over Supreme Court nomination disputes involving Chief Justice Cho Hee-dae, a DMZ landmine incident, and housing costs, contributing to Lee’s approval rating falling to 35.2 percent. However, these clashes have not produced credible momentum for removal proceedings. Lee’s ongoing prosecution reforms and the suspension of prior legal cases against him while in office further reduce near-term risks, aligning with trader views that structural barriers outweigh current political friction.
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