Japan’s government has not established a dedicated UAP disclosure program, parliamentary mandate, or scheduled release process for 2026. In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated that Tokyo analyzes UAP information with interest in coordination with the United States and other allies, while any release of Japanese-held material would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. A cross-party group of roughly 80 lawmakers has proposed creating a centralized UAP office under the Cabinet Secretariat, yet no such framework has been implemented and no official timeline for declassifying new files has emerged. Trader consensus at 95% for “No” aligns with this cautious, security-focused posture and the absence of legislative or executive drivers that would compel public releases before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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