Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and Meteonosti indicate a daytime high of 12–14°C in Moscow on October 13 under light to moderate rain and a northwest wind shift, following warmer southerly flow on October 12. This positions 11°C and 12°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from an incoming Atlantic system and associated cloud cover limiting solar heating. Historical October averages near 9–10°C provide context, yet current observations and short-range GFS runs show the anomaly holding near +2–4°C above normal. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and pressure trends ahead of final verification, with limited upside risk above 13°C given the expected precipitation and wind.