Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate a daily maximum around 22–26°C for Mexico City on October 13, driven by high-elevation subtropical conditions at roughly 2,240 meters that typically cap October highs near 23–24°C. Partly cloudy skies with 40–60% afternoon shower chances are expected to limit strong solar heating, yet variable steering patterns and model spreads allow for brief clearing that could push readings to 26°C or above—aligning with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability. Persistent early-month moisture and cloud cover have kept recent daily maxima near seasonal norms, introducing uncertainty that supports the secondary 25°C outcome at 36.5%. Updated model runs later today will refine land-sea breeze and convective timing ahead of market resolution.