**Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models supports a daily maximum near 16°C in Buenos Aires on October 12, 2026.** Persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and ongoing instability with drizzle have capped daytime warming, aligning with observed temperatures in the mid-teens and preventing stronger solar heating. Multiple model runs show highs between 15–17°C, with 16°C representing the central tendency and resolution threshold. Minor variations in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings slightly lower or higher, yet current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance make significant departures unlikely before the market closes.