Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering 2026 run anchors trader consensus at 95% implied probability. The July release posted the biggest domestic opening ever at $360 million, crossed $2.5 billion worldwide by early October with strong legs and 90% critical approval, and already ranks as the year’s clear leader by more than $700 million over The Odyssey. Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 bow carries massive pre-sales momentum and could deliver a historic debut, yet the compressed holiday window makes an upset mathematically steep. Other contenders trail further behind on current tracking and release timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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