**Gyanesh Kumar's tenure as Chief Election Commissioner runs until January 2029 under the 2023 appointment law, and removing him requires parliamentary action with high procedural thresholds.** Ongoing opposition criticism centers on the Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls, which deleted over 130 million names, and internal commission disputes where the other two commissioners raised formal objections to decisions. Protests, parliamentary notices, and Supreme Court petitions have intensified since September 2026, yet the ruling coalition holds the numbers needed to block removal efforts. No official steps or announcements point to an exit before year-end, supporting traders' 74.5% implied probability on "No." Scheduled events like court hearings could influence sentiment, but structural protections favor continuity through December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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