Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s path to remaining in office centers on securing a parliamentary vote under Article 116 to renew elections in 2028, which would activate a constitutional exception allowing a third presidential term despite the two-term limit. His AKP-MHP alliance holds 326 of 600 seats and needs additional support to reach the 360-vote threshold, prompting recent calls from MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli and presidential adviser Mehmet Uçum for an April 16, 2028, poll. Erdoğan has prioritized a new constitution and cross-party consensus while the main opposition faces fragmentation and legal pressures on figures like Ekrem İmamoğlu. These developments shape trader views on whether structural and alliance dynamics can extend his tenure past the scheduled May 2028 end of his current term.