Economists' median forecasts center on a 0.21% September Core CPI month-over-month increase, below August's 0.29% print, reflecting expected mean-reversion in supercore services and further shelter moderation after that month's upside surprise. This consensus underpins the market-implied 48.5% odds on 0.2%, with 0.3% at 33.5% capturing residual risks from persistent energy pass-through or firm goods prices. Recent data show annual core inflation easing toward 2.4%, while the October 14 BLS release will resolve the contract and inform near-term monetary policy expectations amid mixed labor market signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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