**The Weeknd leads trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability for #2 Spotify artist in November 2026, driven by his dominant daily stream rate of roughly 41.7 million and catalog strength anchored by “Blinding Lights,” the platform’s most-streamed track ever.** As of November 7, Bruno Mars sits at #1 with ~126 million monthly listeners while The Weeknd holds third at ~117 million, just behind Rihanna at ~117.6 million. His consistent output and evergreen hits give him the clearest path to finish ahead of closer competitors through the rest of the month. Rihanna’s 21.5% reflects her strong current monthly-listener position but lower daily streams (~30.5 million), leaving room for The Weeknd’s momentum to pull ahead. Artists clustered around 50% or lower, including Justin Bieber, Lady Gaga, and Taylor Swift, trail further in daily activity and lack the same late-month catalysts. No major new releases from the top contenders have surfaced in early November to shift the trajectory, reinforcing reliance on catalog performance and historical streaming patterns. Traders appear to view The Weeknd’s steady volume as the decisive edge for the final monthly ranking.