Trump’s approval rating has trended downward through much of 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s in recent polling aggregates amid persistent voter dissatisfaction with inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and economic conditions. Involvement in the Iran conflict has further weighed on ratings, with low marks on foreign policy and energy prices contributing to net approvals near or below -20. Support has softened even among 2024 voters, particularly younger and Hispanic cohorts. The November 3 midterms, widely viewed as a referendum on the president, represent the next major catalyst, with outcomes potentially shaping any late-year rebound or further erosion. Historical patterns show approval can shift with legislative or diplomatic developments, though recent data indicate limited upward momentum.