Recent polling shows a fragmented race for Zacatecas governor in 2027, with Movimiento Ciudadano’s Jorge Álvarez Máynez leading some head-to-head scenarios at around 30 percent, followed closely by PAN-PRI’s Adolfo “Fito” Bonilla and Morena-PT-PVEM’s Verónica Díaz Robles near 22-25 percent. Díaz’s appointment as Morena’s state coordinator has strengthened her position within the ruling coalition, yet internal surveys continue to favor Ulises Mejía Haro for the nomination. High voter rejection of Morena, widespread concern over insecurity, and 56 percent preference for a change of party keep the contest competitive. Coalition negotiations, candidate definitions, and economic performance under the current administration remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the vote.