Lin Kuo-chang holds a clear lead in the Yilan County magistrate race due to consistent polling advantages over rivals and strong local roots as a long-time Yilan lawyer backed by the DPP leadership. Wu Tsung-hsien, the KMT nominee who secured unified opposition support after prevailing in a joint KMT-TPP primary poll against Chen Wan-hui, trails as he lacks deep county ties following the prior incumbent’s legal issues. Recent campaign activity centers on Lin promoting economic, safety, and green development priorities while Wu engages in local cultural events to build visibility ahead of the November 28 vote. Independent and minor candidates remain marginal in surveys and trading. The market pricing reflects these dynamics, with trader consensus aligning closely to head-to-head polling trends showing a competitive but DPP-favored contest.