Lin Kuo-chang of the Democratic Progressive Party holds the leading trader consensus at 68.5% for the November 28 Yilan County magistrate election, ahead of Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien at 31.5%, with Taiwan People's Party figure Chen Wan-hui and independents such as Chang Sheng-te trailing far behind. The positioning stems from Lin's consistent edge in head-to-head polling since early 2026, bolstered by DPP recruitment of the political newcomer, local faction backing, and emphasis on economic growth, youth entrepreneurship, public safety, and sustainable development. Wu benefits from KMT-TPP opposition coordination that consolidated support after May joint surveys, yet faces a narrower path in a county shifting from prior KMT control. Recent campaign activity, including Lin's township outreach and youth mobilization alongside Wu's cultural festival engagement, has reinforced the gap without major shifts in the final stretch.