Russian forces captured Myrnohrad in Donetsk Oblast during the early 2026 Pokrovsk offensive, establishing control over most of the city and deploying artillery, command posts, and drone units while displacing Ukrainian positions from central and southern sectors. Ukrainian troops retained limited northern footholds into late 2025 but faced encirclement attempts and infiltration before full withdrawal. Through October 2026, Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi has reclaimed over 275 square kilometers and multiple settlements elsewhere in Donetsk, diverting Russian units and slowing advances near Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, yet no verified Ukrainian re-entry into Myrnohrad has occurred. Russian consolidation, including expanded UAV infrastructure, and Ukrainian focus on other axes continue to shape the low implied probability that Ukrainian forces recapture any territory in the city by year-end.