UAE officials have explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council following the country's April 2026 exit from OPEC and OPEC+, citing a review of multilateral ties that did not extend to the GCC or Arab League. Recent months have featured continued UAE participation in GCC ministerial meetings on industrial cooperation, financial integration, and standardization in Bahrain, alongside statements from the GCC secretary-general emphasizing strengthened unity after regional security challenges. Traders assign 95.9% probability to the UAE remaining a member through 2026 because bilateral economic linkages, joint infrastructure projects, and shared diversification goals outweigh documented Saudi-UAE frictions over production quotas and regional influence. A formal departure would require an unprecedented breakdown in these institutional channels or a major external shock altering strategic alignments.