Russia continues regular autumn conscription of roughly 120,000 men under its year-round system introduced in 2026, alongside ongoing contract recruitment averaging around 30,000 per month, while repeatedly denying plans for a new special mobilization of reservists. Recent steps include a decree raising authorized armed forces strength, regional contract incentives, tighter enforcement measures on draft registration, and legislative proposals expanding reserve ages. Ukrainian intelligence reports anticipate larger-scale recruitment targets through 2027 to sustain operations, yet official Russian statements emphasize the current draft's limited scope and non-combat deployment assurances. Trader focus centers on whether battlefield pressures or recruitment shortfalls will trigger a formal announcement of expanded forced call-ups before year-end deadlines.
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