Lionel Messi’s confirmed retirement from Argentina’s national team after the 2026 World Cup final has solidified trader expectations that he will not feature at the 2028 Copa América. The 39-year-old announced the decision in late August following a runner-up finish against Spain, citing the physical toll and a desire to step away after 207 caps and 125 goals. A farewell match in October underscored the finality, with Messi describing the exit as deeply painful yet timely. At age 41 during the tournament, the combination of his international retirement, advancing years, and lack of pressure from the AFA has produced the current 88% implied probability for “No,” reflecting the consensus that his Albiceleste career has concluded despite his ongoing club contract with Inter Miami.