Jerome Powell's long tenure as Federal Reserve Chair and deep expertise in monetary policy create strong trader consensus against him joining an AI company in 2026, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for "No." Recent Fed discussions have focused on AI-driven inflation pressures from infrastructure spending and labor market effects, with Powell emphasizing the technology's limited near-term job impact rather than any personal transition. His background offers no signals of pivoting to large language model development, competitive AI labs, or tech partnerships. While a post-term advisory role at a major firm remains theoretically possible, the absence of credible reporting or executive moves keeps odds firmly against an AI-specific move.