**FalleN's announced retirement at the end of 2026 sharply narrows the window for an S-Tier victory with FURIA.** At 35, the Brazilian in-game leader has guided the team to several deep runs this year, including runner-up finishes at the IEM Cologne Major and IEM Kraków, plus a third place at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026, yet no titles. Recent ESL Pro League Season 24 results showed mixed form with a 5th-8th exit after a 3-2 Swiss stage and quarterfinal loss to MOUZ. Stronger competition from Vitality, MOUZ, and Falcons, combined with FURIA's inability to close out recent high-stakes events, underpins trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome at 65.5% implied probability. Limited remaining schedule entries further constrain realistic title paths.