The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades near 102.4–102.5 amid firm Treasury yields near 5.32% on the 10-year note, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike and hawkish signals for additional tightening by year-end. Traders price limited odds of an October move but watch Wednesday’s September CPI release and Thursday’s retail sales data for clues on inflation persistence and the policy path. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven support, while the index’s year-to-date advance of roughly 4% underscores dollar resilience against major currencies. Market-implied odds will shift with any hotter-than-expected inflation prints or revised growth outlooks.