Massive releases of over 3 million Epstein investigative pages, videos, and images under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act have produced no new U.S. federal or state charges or incarcerations directly attributable to the disclosures. DOJ reviews and statements have cited insufficient corroboration, expired statutes of limitations, and inconsistent victim accounts for third-party cases, leaving Ghislaine Maxwell’s prior 20-year conviction as the sole related imprisonment. Trader consensus at 95% for no jailing by December 31, 2026, reflects these structural barriers and the absence of prosecutorial signals despite congressional scrutiny and international inquiries. Realistic shifts could still arise from state-level actions, overlooked evidence prompting indictments, or successful legal proceedings tied explicitly to the released materials before year-end.