**Recent large-scale releases of Epstein investigative files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act have not produced new U.S. criminal charges or incarcerations tied to the disclosures.** The Justice Department has repeatedly stated that reviews of millions of pages, videos, and images turned up no credible, prosecutable evidence against additional individuals beyond Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, whose 2021 conviction predates the recent releases. Internal memos from the original investigations reached similar conclusions, and officials have maintained this position through 2026 amid ongoing document reviews and redactions. While limited international actions have occurred, U.S. prosecutors cite evidentiary thresholds, timelines, and the nature of unverified allegations as barriers. Traders price the “No” outcome at 95% because the disclosures have driven transparency and public scrutiny without triggering qualifying domestic prosecutions or jail time by the December 31, 2026 resolution date.