The 95% trader consensus on “No” for charges tied to post-2025 Epstein file releases reflects the Justice Department’s completed review and public statements that additional U.S. prosecutions lack sufficient evidence. Major disclosures of over 3.5 million pages, videos, and images occurred in January 2026 under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, yet DOJ officials indicated that victim interviews and investigative memos primarily contained unverified allegations against associates. No federal or state indictments have been announced through October 2026 that prosecutors have attributed to the newly released materials, consistent with earlier assessments that only Ghislaine Maxwell faced charges from the original case. Ongoing international inquiries and financial institution scrutiny have not produced qualifying U.S. criminal actions. Market resolution depends on any qualifying charge before year-end, but the absence of developments since the bulk releases supports the current implied probability.