Recent polling surges for One Nation, reaching around 30% nationally in some surveys, have drawn interest from sitting parliamentarians disillusioned with major parties. Former Labor MLC Ben Dawkins has publicly explored joining the party after his expulsion, while multiple ex-Coalition figures seek spots on its NSW ticket ahead of the 2027 state election. Barnaby Joyce’s December 2025 defection from the Nationals established a precedent, and David Farley’s May 2026 Farrer by-election win expanded federal representation. Trader consensus at 55.5% for another sitting MP joining reflects these cross-party shifts and One Nation’s momentum, tempered by the party’s history of internal turnover and the remaining months before year-end.