Alix Earle’s confirmed presence at the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, where she appeared in the paddock and at associated events alongside other high-profile attendees, anchors the 78.5% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. Her established pattern of selective F1 weekend participation, reinforced by ongoing social links to McLaren driver Lando Norris following Monaco and London sightings earlier in the season, aligns with her influencer schedule of brand activations and major motorsport gatherings. With multiple U.S. rounds remaining and no reported withdrawals or scheduling conflicts, traders view additional appearances as the likely extension of this trajectory rather than an outlier. Resolution hinges on credible reporting of physical race-day attendance through December.