Courts have consistently rejected claims that the 2020 presidential election involved outcome-determinative fraud, with dozens of lawsuits dismissed on procedural or evidentiary grounds since 2020. As of October 2026, no federal or state court has issued a ruling declaring the election fraudulent. Recent developments include federal judges blocking expansive Justice Department efforts to obtain state voter records for noncitizen voting probes and quashing subpoenas tied to 2020 ballot reviews, citing expired statutes of limitations. These procedural barriers, combined with prior exhaustive audits and recounts that found no widespread irregularities sufficient to alter results, underpin trader expectations that a court ruling affirming fraud remains highly unlikely, though isolated new litigation could theoretically test the consensus.