Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in 2026, with an open race after incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship. Michael Alfonso secured the GOP nomination in the August primary, while Fred Clark advanced for Democrats. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+22 performance in the prior cycle and rural northern Wisconsin voter base. Limited general-election polling and minimal outside spending have kept uncertainty focused on the exact margin rather than the winner, producing clustered probabilities across Republican victory ranges of 5-20 points. Late-cycle developments such as turnout patterns in rural counties or any unexpected national environment shift could narrow or widen the final spread before November 3.