Ciryl Gane holds the UFC heavyweight title as the consensus leader in the end-of-2026 market after Tom Aspinall vacated the belt in September 2026 due to a lingering eye injury from their 2025 no-contest. Gane earned interim status with a second-round knockout of Alex Pereira in June 2026 and faces his first defense against undefeated prospect Josh Hokit at UFC 334 on November 14. Hokit’s rapid rise, including stoppage wins over Derrick Lewis and Curtis Blaydes, underpins his 30% implied probability, though Gane’s experience and recent form position him as the heavy favorite. With the title bout occurring weeks before year-end and limited other contenders positioned for immediate contention, the winner of Gane-Hokit is expected to hold the championship through December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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