Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 election show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party leading Likud by several seats, with the opposition bloc edging or tying Netanyahu’s camp near 52 seats each—both short of a Knesset majority. Head-to-head surveys give Eisenkot a modest lead over Netanyahu as preferred prime minister, reflecting voter focus on security performance and coalition math. Neither side has secured reliable partners to reach 61 seats, leaving thresholds for smaller lists and potential Arab-party support as pivotal variables. Traders price Eisenkot highest because Yashar’s polling momentum positions him to receive the first mandate, while Netanyahu’s share holds due to Likud’s base and bloc cohesion despite ongoing deadlock risks.