Gadi Eisenkot leads trader consensus at 45% due to recent polling showing his new Yashar party edging or tying Likud ahead of the October 27 election, with voters favoring the former IDF chief over Benjamin Netanyahu in head-to-head suitability tests. Netanyahu’s bloc remains several seats short of a Knesset majority despite gains, reflecting persistent criticism over security lapses tied to October 2023. Naftali Bennett at 15% benefits from center-right positioning in fragmented opposition talks, while smaller shares for figures like Avigdor Lieberman reflect limited coalition leverage. No bloc has secured 61 seats, leaving post-election negotiations as the decisive factor in forming a government.