Gadi Eisenkot leads the market at 45% as his Yashar party tops most recent polls for the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting trader views of his military background and the opposition’s slight edge in forming a majority. Benjamin Netanyahu trails at 30.5% amid ongoing scrutiny of security failures before the October 7, 2023 attacks and his bloc’s repeated shortfalls below the 61 seats needed for a coalition. Naftali Bennett sits at 15.5% on the strength of his B’Yachad alliance with Yair Lapid, though internal opposition tensions and lower polling have capped his position. Recent surveys show Eisenkot widening his head-to-head advantage over Netanyahu on suitability for prime minister, while bloc projections remain fluid and dependent on smaller parties such as those led by Avigdor Lieberman and Itamar Ben-Gvir.