**Recent Israeli polls show a tight contest ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud running neck-and-neck at roughly 21–23 seats each.** Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together list follows at about 12 seats, while Yair Golan’s Democrats, Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu, Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, Religious Zionism–Zehut, the Joint List, and Ra’am typically poll between 5 and 10 seats. Netanyahu’s right-religious bloc and the main Zionist opposition bloc each hover near 52 seats in most averages—well short of the 61 needed for a majority—making the 3.25% electoral threshold decisive for smaller lists such as Ofer Winter’s People of Israel and the Hendel–Zelekha Reservists-Economic party. October 7 commemorations and security debates have kept voter attention fixed on leadership and bloc alignment, with roughly 30% still undecided. Surplus-vote agreements close October 16, overseas voting occurs October 20, and final published polls end October 23.