Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election show a fragmented field under proportional representation with a 3.25% threshold. Likud and Yashar lead with roughly 20-22 seats each, while Netanyahu's traditional bloc averages 51-54 seats and the main opposition bloc trails closely, leaving neither side near the 61-seat majority. Smaller lists including B'Yachad, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, The Democrats, Yisrael Beytenu, Religious Zionism-Zehut, the Joint List, and Ra'am project between 5-12 seats, with new entrants like the Hendel-Zelekha party and Amcha Israel hovering near the threshold in several surveys. Surplus-vote pacts close October 16 and final public polls end October 23, after which seat outcomes will hinge on turnout among undecided voters and minor parties clearing the bar.
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