Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud-led bloc and the main opposition grouping, anchored by Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party alongside Naftali Bennett's Together, Yisrael Beytenu, and the Democrats, each projected near 52 seats—well short of the 61-seat majority required. Arab lists hold roughly 13-15 seats that neither side has reliably courted for coalition purposes. The outgoing coalition of Likud, Shas, United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism has hovered near or below 53 seats in recent averages, reflecting voter fragmentation and limited crossover support. Surplus-vote pacts due October 16 and final campaign developments on security and draft policy could shift margins by a few seats, leaving post-election coalition talks decisive for determining which parties enter government.