Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 election shows neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (Likud, Shas, United Torah Judaism, Religious Zionism-Zehut, Otzma Yehudit) nor the main opposition grouping (Yashar, B'Yachad, Democrats, Yisrael Beytenu) reaching the 61 seats needed for a Knesset majority, with averages near 50-52 seats each and Arab lists (Joint List, Ra'am) adding roughly 13 more. Netanyahu's recent statements excluding Itamar Ben-Gvir from key security portfolios have strained right-wing alliances, while Avigdor Liberman has ruled out joining any government with Netanyahu or supporting a minority arrangement. Haredi parties continue to condition participation on draft exemptions, and surplus-vote pacts close today ahead of overseas voting on October 20. These dynamics, plus the Joint List's conditional openness to backing an anti-Netanyahu government, point to extended post-election negotiations or potential deadlock after results certify around November 4.