Recent Israeli polls show Netanyahu’s Likud-led bloc and the main opposition grouping centered on Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party running essentially even at roughly 51–55 seats each, well short of the 61-seat Knesset majority needed to form a government after the October 27 election. Both sides remain dependent on smaller parties clearing the 3.25 percent threshold and on surplus-vote pacts due by October 16. The October 7 anniversary has kept security performance and coalition reliability at the center of campaigning, while Arab lists and parties such as Yisrael Beytenu or Together hold potential kingmaker roles. Post-election consultations by the president and the 28-day formation window will determine whether either bloc can assemble a stable coalition or whether a unity arrangement or fresh vote becomes necessary.