Kuwait has emerged as the leading candidate for joining the Abraham Accords before 2027, according to an October 2026 Council for a Secure America analysis of nine Muslim-majority states without formal Israel ties. The ranking highlights Kuwait’s strengthened executive authority under Emir Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah, closer UAE coordination, U.S. security alignment, and exposure to Iranian attacks during the 2026 Iran war as factors shifting its posture. Israel’s ambassador to the UAE publicly projected Kuwaiti accession within six months as of September 2026. Lebanon ranks second amid U.S.-brokered diplomatic frameworks and domestic efforts to address Hezbollah, while Syria follows under its new leadership with polling showing modest public openness to security arrangements. Saudi normalization has cooled since the Iran conflict, with Riyadh continuing to condition any deal on concrete Palestinian statehood progress. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, and ongoing multilateral meetings among existing signatories underscore sustained U.S.-backed cooperation efforts amid regional security realignments.
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