The ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on countries reporting Ebola cases this year. With over 8,700 confirmed cases and 4,200 deaths concentrated in Ituri and spreading to North Kivu and additional provinces, the scale has already produced imported detections in Uganda (20 cases, outbreak declared over in August), France (one case), and Kenya (first confirmed imported case on October 6, with the patient dying shortly after arrival in Nairobi). Heightened surveillance at borders and airports, combined with medical evacuations to Europe, keeps focus on potential additional cross-border transmissions through year-end. Traders weigh the virus's direct-contact transmission limits and active contact tracing against persistent community deaths and regional mobility that could trigger further reports.