Where will it rain on October 11?

Ended: Oct 11

Oct 12

Oct 13

Ended: Oct 11

Oct 12

Oct 13

$5,349 Vol.

Oct 12, 2026

New York, NY

$315 Vol.

Yes

Los Angeles, CA

$680 Vol.

Yes

Chicago, IL

$184 Vol.

Houston, TX

$230 Vol.

Dallas, TX

$254 Vol.

Phoenix, AZ

$420 Vol.

Yes

Philadelphia, PA

$265 Vol.

Yes

Washington, DC

$563 Vol.

Yes

Atlanta, GA

$656 Vol.

Yes

Miami, FL

$667 Vol.

Yes

Seattle, WA

$147 Vol.

Boston, MA

$322 Vol.

Yes

New Orleans, LA

$529 Vol.

San Francisco, CA

$117 Vol.

$5,349 Vol.

New York, NY

$315 Vol.

Yes

Los Angeles, CA

$680 Vol.

Yes

Chicago, IL

$184 Vol.

Houston, TX

$230 Vol.

Dallas, TX

$254 Vol.

Phoenix, AZ

$420 Vol.

Yes

Philadelphia, PA

$265 Vol.

Yes

Washington, DC

$563 Vol.

Yes

Atlanta, GA

$656 Vol.

Yes

Miami, FL

$667 Vol.

Yes

Seattle, WA

$147 Vol.

Boston, MA

$322 Vol.

Yes

New Orleans, LA

$529 Vol.

San Francisco, CA

$117 Vol.

Market Opened: Oct 10, 2026, 7:09 AM ET

Volume

$5,349

End Date

Oct 12, 2026

Market Opened

Oct 10, 2026, 7:09 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC

Resolver

0x65070be91...

Volume

$5,349

End Date

Oct 12, 2026

Market Opened

Oct 10, 2026, 7:09 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC

Resolver

0x65070be91...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Where will it rain on October 11?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York, NY" at 100%, followed by "Los Angeles, CA" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Where will it rain on October 11?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Where will it rain on October 11?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Where will it rain on October 11?" is "New York, NY" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles, CA" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Where will it rain on October 11?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Where will it rain on October 11?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Where will it rain on October 11?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Where will it rain on October 11?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "New York, NY" in the "Where will it rain on October 11?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "New York, NY" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Where will it rain on October 11?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Where will it rain on October 11?" market has an active community of 17 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Where will it rain on October 11?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Where will it rain on October 11?

Where will it rain on October 11?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (17)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Where will it rain on October 11?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Where will it rain on October 11?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Where will it rain on October 11?"?

What are the current odds for "Where will it rain on October 11?"?

How will "Where will it rain on October 11?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Where will it rain on October 11?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Where will it rain on October 11?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Where will it rain on October 11?"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "New York, NY" mean?

When does the "Where will it rain on October 11?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Where will it rain on October 11?"?

What is Polymarket?

Where will it rain on October 11?

Where will it rain on October 11?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (17)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Where will it rain on October 11?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Where will it rain on October 11?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Where will it rain on October 11?"?

What are the current odds for "Where will it rain on October 11?"?

How will "Where will it rain on October 11?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Where will it rain on October 11?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Where will it rain on October 11?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Where will it rain on October 11?"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "New York, NY" mean?

When does the "Where will it rain on October 11?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Where will it rain on October 11?"?

What is Polymarket?