Trump’s approval rating has fallen to the low 30s percent in recent polling averages as of mid-October 2026, with net figures near -22 to -27, reflecting sustained weakness on the economy, inflation, and trade. Persistent cost-of-living pressures and the economic fallout from U.S. strikes on Iran have weighed heavily on public confidence, eroding support even among 2024 Trump voters and independents. The November 2026 midterms, now weeks away, represent an immediate test that could shift congressional control and alter legislative or oversight dynamics through 2027. Longer-term trajectories to June 2027 will hinge on inflation trends, resolution or escalation of the Iran situation, and any post-midterm policy adjustments, as historical patterns show second-term ratings often remain sensitive to economic performance and major foreign policy developments.