**Viktor Orbán, now Hungary’s former prime minister and Fidesz opposition leader, faces ongoing corruption investigations under Prime Minister Péter Magyar’s government, but no arrest has occurred and formal charges against him remain pending.** Recent actions have targeted Orbán-era officials, including the September-October 2026 detention of former ministers Balázs Hankó and Miklós Seszták on embezzlement and bribery allegations after parliament lifted their immunity. Probes also examine a March 2026 incident involving the detention of Ukrainian Oschadbank couriers, with reports citing internal documents alleging Orbán’s involvement; Orbán has denied directing the operation, and related cases against associates are described as less advanced. The timeline to year-end, combined with standard prosecutorial processes, evidentiary requirements, and Orbán’s retained political influence, supports trader consensus that an arrest is improbable before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions