Recent statewide polling averages show the Liberal–National Coalition and Labor holding the top two primary vote positions, with One Nation consistently third on 22–24 percent support. This places the party well ahead of the Greens at 14–16 percent and smaller groups, reflecting One Nation’s regional and rural strength plus campaign momentum ahead of the November 28 election. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns with these patterns and seat-projection models that attribute multiple lower-house wins to One Nation. Minor shifts in recent Resolve and RedBridge surveys have not altered the ordering, while the Greens’ modest gains remain insufficient to challenge the third slot. Upcoming early voting and final-week developments could still influence final tallies.