MIBR leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to zekken’s ongoing contract through 2027 and his established role as primary duelist alongside aspas on the Brazilian roster. A disappointing VCT Americas 2026 campaign for MIBR fueled exit speculation, yet no confirmed buyout or formal release has materialized, anchoring the favorite in the offseason market. Sentinels sit at just 14.1% after their post-Masters Madrid rebuild added N4RRATE and bang while retaining johnqt, with recent reporting framing zekken as a former core member rather than an active target. Lower-priced options such as G2, LOUD, and Evil Geniuses reflect minimal verified links or roster fits, while the cluster of 50% outcomes on unlisted squads captures broad uncertainty typical of early free-agency speculation. Contract stability and lack of concrete movement since Stage 2 playoffs remain the dominant drivers.