OXY's reported early-stage talks with Sentinels, paired with his absence from Cloud9's ongoing trials for replacement duelists like alym and tonza, have positioned the former as the narrow market leader at 55.3% implied probability. Cloud9's 41% reflects ongoing roster uncertainty after a disappointing 2026 Americas campaign where OXY posted strong individual stats but limited international results. Multiple other Americas squads sit near 50% amid the open offseason window, as OXY remains under contract through late 2028 and any move requires a buyout. This competitive bunching stems from limited confirmed developments, variable team needs across VCT Americas, and the potential for further roster shifts before 2027 rosters finalize.